Rethinking Goals: the Science of Nonlinear Goal Setting

In 2008, Spotify set the ambitious vision to create a legal music streaming service that could compete with piracy. Their initial strategy was clear-cut: secure licensing deals with major record labels, build a robust platform, and acquire users.

But the path that led to their current 626 million active users was anything but straight. They had to constantly pivot, experiment with different features, and even temporarily abandon certain markets. Their success didn’t come from religiously following their initial roadmap, but from treating each setback as an opportunity to learn and adapt.

Spotify’s story illustrates a crucial insight from decades of psychological research: the most significant breakthroughs often emerge from nonlinear paths. Yet, we cling to goal setting methods that promise certainty and control.

The Hidden Costs of Linear Goal Setting

Have you ever felt like you’re climbing an endless ladder, where each rung represents another goal to achieve? The moment you reach one objective, there’s always another waiting, leaving you exhausted and wondering if you’re making actual progress.

Linear goals dominate our approach to personal and professional lives. They offer a reassuring sense of clarity and measurability that our brains can find deeply appealing. That might be why the SMART goal-setting framework, introduced in the 1980s, is still used in companies around the world to this day.

But this traditional approach to goal setting is rooted in industrial-age thinking: straight lines, predictable outcomes, and measurable progress. While this might work well for manufacturing widgets, they fall short in uncertain environments characterized by rapid change.

Worse yet, research found that over-emphasis on specific, challenging goals can lead to reduced risk-taking, decreased intrinsic motivation, and even unethical behavior.

The problem lies partly in how our brains process goals and rewards. Neuroscience research has shown that the brain’s dopaminergic reward system is activated not only by achieving goals but also by anticipating rewards.

When goals are narrowly defined and tied to specific outcomes, the brain can overprioritize immediate, extrinsic rewards, leading to stress and fear of failure when those expectations aren’t met.  This response helps explain why linear goals often lead to:

  • Constant fear of failure and judgment
  • A fixed mindset that limits learning opportunities
  • Toxic positivity that pressures us to always present as successful
  • Unhealthy competition that isolates us from potential collaborators

These issues become particularly acute in what organizational psychologists call VUCA environments (Volatile, Uncertain, Complex, and Ambiguous) – precisely the conditions most of us navigate daily in our careers and personal growth journeys.

How to Implement Nonlinear Goal Setting

Nature rarely moves in straight lines, and neither does our personal and professional development. When we embrace nonlinear goal setting, we activate the brain’s reward system differently. Instead of seeking the dopamine hit of achieving a single goal, we create multiple feedback loops that encourage exploration and sustain motivation.

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1) Start with observation. Keep a curiosity journal by taking field notes tracking your emerging interests, interesting conversations, and energy patterns. Document your current challenges and doubts without judgment. In particular, notice which activities energize you versus drain you.

2) Design tiny experiments. Create small, low-stakes tests to collect data. Focus on the process and let go of the outcome. You can’t fail when any outcome is treated as a source of valuable information to support the design of your next experiment.

3) Make space for reflection. Schedule regular review sessions. The Plus Minus Next method is a simple metacognitive practice that can help integrate learnings and adjust your trajectory based on emerging insights – not based on an artificial finish line.

Remember that you’re not aiming for perfection. Instead, notice what emerges without forcing specific outcomes. By releasing the need for perfection, you will paradoxically create the conditions for more meaningful growth. This flexible approach will not only feel better but also produce more sustainable results. What tiny experiment will you try first?


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